What is the SECRET of SUDDEN change of HEART of FIIs POST BUDGET?
March 4, 16
What is the SECRET of
SUDDEN change of HEART of FIIs POST BUDGET?
Greetings
from Hitesh! While I am writing this post – FRIDAY’s market is closed and we
have gained highest weekly gain in our market since 2009!! Till 29th
FEB morning everything was negative and suddenly there is a change that is 100%
positive.
Nifty
Future moved up from 6833 the low of BUDGET day to 7480 today, a gain of 450
points in just 5 days!! In percentage terms this gain is 6.5%. BSE Sensex moved
up from 22494 to 24646, gain of 2100 points or gain of 9.3% in absolute terms.
What could be the
reasons for the same.
Let
me deal with some of the FUNDAMENTAL reasons for the same.
Mr.Jaitely as SALMAN
KHAN:-
Do
you remember the famous dialogue of DABAANG - Ek baar jo maine commitment kar di, fir main apne aap ki bhi
nahi suntan.
Mr.Jaitley
is doing the same things. He promised that he will gradually bring down the
FISCAL DEFICIT to 3.5% and he has exactly done the same. Looking at the situations
he had all the options not to stick to his commitments – but he kept his WORDS.
If you look at the track record of previous finance minsters in keeping their
promises particularly in the area of FISCAL deficit – you will hardly find
anybody equaling to Mr.Jaitley.
Look at
YUDHISTHIR in MAHABHARATA – he had done all wrong things like playing
GAMBLE/betting his wife and brothers in GAMBLE and things like that. But he had
one good quality – to say TRUTH irrespective of the repercussions. All his
FAULTS got hidden behind this one good quality.
Same
way all the negatives of the Indian Economy got hidden against this ACT of
keeping FISCAL DEFICIT under control. This has given the RBI – a chance to
revise its rate and infuse the liquidity in the Indian Economy.
FIIs
have appreciated this move and they have also decided to reconsider their
decision on the Indian Market. They have invested close to Rs.5500 crs in last
5 days.
WORKING ON THREE PILLARS
TOGETHER:-
While
writing for the BUDGET – I had used only one word – Most Comprehensive BUDGET
presented since 1992. It was working on 9 areas simultaneously.
Broadly
these 9 areas can be divided into 3 areas – GOVT investments / Private
investments / Rural GROWTH.
While
GOVT has always been active what lacked was the private investments and rural
growth. Look at ANIL AMBANI GROUP / LANCO / JINDALs / JP ASSOCIATES and many
such groups. All have done major investments but all of them are SICK now
thanks to Project Delays and Interest Accumulations. With RBI expected to reduce
the interest rates – these groups will give some fresh air for revival.
Rural
Growth:- we have MNREGA since long. But it was never used productively. Now the
same money will be spent on building up rural infrastructure. So, this will
generate not only rural employments but also the productive work along with the
same.
Monsoon:-
Indian
MONSOON cycle has never seen 3 consecutive below normal Monsoon in a long-term
history of India. Current estimates say that this year the monsoon will be very
good. Normal monsoon will add GOD’s grace to the GROWTH of India.
What does this MEAN of SHARE
MARKET?
If you
combine the above 3 with likely RBI rate cut as early as next week or in its 5th
APRIL meeting – FIIs have every reasons to invest tons of money in INDIA.
If everything goes as intended – the
Nifty can be 15000 to 18000 by 2018!! I am giving you this bold call way ahead
of your MARKET EXPERTS.
What it means for NORMAL
investors?
Start
investing in selected stocks. Have a vision of 2-3 years and go on investing.
In my last post I had already told you that I see many opportunities to do
bottom fishing in 2016. Just go on adding if you want to hit the JACKPOT or go
on trading if you want to make money daily/weekly or Monthly.
Both
the way you will make money.
What NEXT?
Just to
remind you in August 2012 – I had given a bold call that I see India’s destiny
changing for better between 68th birthday to 86th
birthday. Not a single EXPERT was so categorical when we told you. Look at all
the events since 2014 and see we are going 100% right.
We have
already given our bold target with fundamental behind the same. If you look at
our TRACK record in GOLD/SILVER/Market - I have every reason to convince you
that I will go reasonably accurate in this call also.
If you
really want to make good money – just be with us for coming 3 years and follow
us. If you want to do trading then also you can take our help.
Have
a FANTASTIC WEEKEND.
Follow me on Twitter @hiteshmparikh or
on WhatsApp - +91-9869425399 or www.hiteshmparikh.com
Live With Passion…Invest With Passion.
Hitesh Parikh.
www.hiteshmparikh.com
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