Role of LUCK in your investment Success
12
September 2018
Role
of LUCK in your investment Success
Greetings
from Hitesh! We have dealt with all the areas related to investments so far.
The one which was not attended was LUCK. Let us deal with that today.
Have
you seen – Someone – doing some improbable and uncertain trade and outcome
comes in his favour. We must understand that this is role of luck and not
SKILL.
Western
thinkers have some belittling feeling with word LUCK. So, Nassim Taleb calls it
RANDOMNESS. Some other calls it CHANCE. Whichever name they use it – they all
are talking about luck.
How
do we decide Success of any given investment decision?
All
normal guys see the results and if the resutls are in favour they call, their
decision was right and if the resutls are not in favour, they call it decision
was wrong.
The
most successful guys have a different way. They decide their decision was right
or wrong in the moment of making decision.
That’s
why BUFFETT says – “I am not right because market agrees with me and I am
not wrong because market disagree with me. I am right because my logic and my
information & analyses says so.”
All
he says is when you make decision – all your logic, information should support
that investment decision. If they are not supporting – you are relying on Luck.
Between decision making (after due study) and outcome there can be many events
which may happen and that events will add to the outcome. So, Buffett and other
smart guys see the track record or resutls considering Skills and Luck.
How
NORMAL minds use wrong words as per TALEB?
Normal
minds are not able to differentiate the resutls are due to luck or skills. They
want to look genius and successful. So, they use wrong words as follows…
They
use SKILL for LUCK
/ determination for
randomness / certainty for probability / knowledge for belief / reality for theory / law for coincidence and the best is Skilled investors
with Lucky idiot.
See
the difference on above words and how a normal mind takes himself / herself for
a ride by SELF CHEATING.
How
do we operate at DESTINY MANAGEMENT?
We
view all the outcomes as a combination of HOLISTIC events happening around you.
On
5th September, we wrote following post and we stand by that in our
journey towards success with happiness. You can click and read the post, if you
have missed last time.
hitesh
@hiteshmparikh
If you have no time to read 1000 books on
Success... http://bestofhiteshparikh.blogspot.com/2018/09/if-you-have-no-time-to-read-1000-books.html?spref=tw …
We
guide our clients with all the five factors mentioned in above post in any area
be it, investments, business or personal.
Normal
minds say – if it is written in their LUCK, they will get it. Because they
don’t want to work on other 4 factors, so LUCK remains only factor for them and
so, luck plays 100% role for them.
The
fact is LUCK has just 20% role and there are other 4 factors (80%) which, if
you control, you can, not only reduce the negative effects of luck, but
transcend beyond luck.
What
NEXT?
I
have always maintained that there is NO MARKET outside. It’s inside your mind only.
Your inside purity, your subtle motives and your goals will get reflected in
quality of your decisions and quality of your life.
Wish
you all a HAPPY GANESH FESTIVAL.
Follow me on Twitter @hiteshmparikh or
on WhatsApp – +91-9869425399.
Live With Passion…Invest With Passion.
Hitesh Parikh.
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