How December State Elections MAY change the game in the Market?
11 October 2018
How December State Elections MAY change the game in
the Market?
Greetings from Hitesh! Normal minds get affected by
RECENT past events very much and they miss the PRESENT as well as FUTURE opportunities
in the same. On Tuesday, market was down, so all were negative on Wednesday and
market went up. Today all were positive, but market went down in the morning
and it is recovering as I am writing this post. Our first message to our clients
was – market will change mood post 10.30am today and we had asked them to buy
10200 calls and Nifty. They all minted money.
The point is – we were looking for opportunities when
market was in mess, despite of the fall or bad news. Our focus is on PRESENT
and PRESENT only. Since we deal with the PRESENT all the time, our future becomes
good by default.
Now let me deal with the above topic. 9 out of the
10 guys are negative about MODI winning in the state election. Media guys are
calling STATE election as a SEMI FINAL for the 2019 elections. Market is also
discounting the same. Overall market is negative due to various factors and one
of them is election resutls.
Now, let us see the other possibility: -
Let us assume on 11th December 2018, we
come to know that BJP is winning in at least 4 out of 5 states or winning in
all the states, what do you think market would do? How would FIIs will think on
coming central election? How other big investors will think about India as an
investment destination?
I am sure all would be positive for MODI winning
CENTRAL election, if the SEMI FINAL resutls are good.
Is it my prediction?
No. This is not my prediction and as a rule I don’t
make political predictions till I have all the people charts with me.
I am just sharing the 1st rule of VALUE
INVESTING – which we discussed in AUGUST. It says – you need to think unconventionally
while investing. If you have missed – I strongly recommend reading all the 16
steps of Value Investing. Just click the link and read all of them.
hitesh @hiteshmparikh
16 most important Steps to Value
Investing – Every... http://bestofhiteshparikh.blogspot.com/2018/09/16-most-important-steps-to-value.html?spref=tw …
In 2004, Market was 100% sure about BAJPAI winning
the election and he lost. Market hit the down circuit for the first time and was
down by 2200 points in a single day (if my memory is correct). This time all
are negative about MODI, and if he wins, I see market mood changing to positive
or super positive very fast.
What Next?
Market has lot of VALUE INVESTING opportunities for
SERIOUS investors. Those who are really interested in investing for 3-5 years
horizon, you will have a time to do cherry picking.
If you want help in area of investments or personal
growth, please approach us.
Have a GREAT INVESTING.
Follow me on Twitter @hiteshmparikh or
on WhatsApp – +91-9869425399.
Live with Passion…Invest with
Passion.
Hitesh Parikh.
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