Reliance JIO V/s AIRTEL – which one is better investment idea?
Thursday, May 18, 17
Reliance
JIO V/s AIRTEL – which one is better investment idea?
Greetings from Hitesh! Thanks for
appreciating our post talking about TEJI in World Market due to deceptive
liquidity measures. Today I am going to talk about RELIANCE JIO and AIRTEL.
Reliance
JIO:-
It makes me proud that MUKESH BHAI topped
the FORBES list of GLOBAL GAME CHANGER. His daddy talked about KAR LO DUNIA
MUTTHI MAIN. He must be happy seeing his son topping the list.
Reliance Jio has come out with DISRUPTIVE
business model and all the companies in the TELECOM has gone for a toss.
Following JIO’s offer – Airtel and other
operators have also started matching the JIO’s offer. Will they be successful?
Will they outsmart JIO? Let me take you to the management science and help you
understand what is the way ahead.
How
TRANFORMATION OCCURS?
It seems that everyone these days is looking for a
disruptive business model. But a business model is only one part of the equation.
Equally important is the mental model behind the business model, as well as a
measurement model for both. It’s the combination of mental, business, and
measurement models that allow real transformation to occur.
Let me share an EXAMPLE of AIRLINE industry:-
The airline industry is a cautionary tale of what happens
when companies emulate new business models without bringing over the associated
mental models.
For over 40 years, Southwest Airlines has been a
disruptive force in the airline industry, creating an entirely new category and
a record 43 consecutive years of profitability. Traditional carriers like
United, American, and Delta have a wide range of fares with multiclass cabins,
heterogenous fleets, and hub-and-spoke routes. Southwest’s innovation was to
focus on low fares with one-class cabins, homogenous fleets, and point-to-point
routes.
From the start, Southwest cofounder Herb Kelleher saw his
competition not as other airlines but as alternative forms of transportation,
whether cars, buses, or trains. He wanted to enable people to fly who wouldn’t otherwise have
been able to. Therefore his mental model was not how to gain market share from
other airlines, but how to create a completely new market for air travel. (When
asked – who is your biggest competitor – CEO of COKE had said WATER and not
PEPSI).
(DHIRUBHAI wanted
people to talk at the cost of POSTCARD. His son made it FREE. AIRTEL did not
have such a DREAM. JIO started with PAN India LICENSE
while AIRTELL Added in piecemeal).
This wasn’t the only difference in mental models between
Southwest and traditional carriers. Kelleher is known for saying: “I tell my employees that we’re in the
service business, and it’s incidental that we fly airplanes.” Other
carriers fly airplanes that carry people. Southwest serves people using
airplanes.
In the early years, other airlines tried to copy
Southwest’s business model with efforts such as Continental Lite, Ted by
United, and Song by Delta. All of these efforts failed. The carriers blamed
poor execution. When Continental shuttered Lite, then CEO Gordon Bethune said,
“It wasn’t implemented in an orchestrated way.” The deeper reason was that a
new business model was implemented without a new mental or measurement model.
Let us look at
Indian Experiences:-
We had DAMANIA ARIWAYS, then came DECCAN and then KING
FISHER and SHAHARA. JET is still the leader and if you study the JET success –
you will find that it is a combination of MENTAL MODEL / MEASUREMENT MODEL and
BUSINESS MODEL.
What is happening
in the times of TECHNOLOGY?
Many companies have “platform envy” and are trying to
emulate the network-based business models of companies like Uber, Amazon,
Airbnb, and Paypal. But before you start copying their business models, let the
example of Southwest be a lesson. Copying a business model without copying a
mental model will lead to disappointing results. You have to change how you think before
you can change what you do, and then change what you measure to close the loop.
Indian poster boy was FLIPKART and SNAPDEAL tried to copy
the same. Today SNAPDEAL is being merged to FLIPKART.
Consider the recent announcement by Volkswagen that it
plans to overtake Tesla in the electric car race. The head of VW’s brand said
that the company will have “leapfrogging cost advantages” thanks to its MQB
platform, a modular architecture for building cars.
VW is replicating Tesla’s business model but with the
wrong mental model. VW thinks of itself as a car manufacturer that uses
technology. Tesla, on the other hand, thinks of itself as a technology company
that manufactures cars. VW would say its cars have sophisticated computers.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk has said of the Model S, “It’s a very sophisticated computer on
wheels.”
This difference in mental models generates very different
measurement models. With a manufacturer mindset, the car industry is heavily
focused on measuring changes from one model year to the next. By contrast,
Tesla’s technology mindset has it thinking in terms of software releases and
downloads rather than model years and shipments. Musk has said, “Most cars don’t improve over time. But the
Model S gets faster and better.”
GE shows that legacy companies can adopt a new mental and
measurement model with a change in business model. CEO Jeff Immelt has said,
“We’ve made the decision that we’re going to try to be both a platform company
and an application company…. We want to treat analytics like it’s as core to
the company over the next 20 years as material science has been over the past
50 years.”
GE recognizes that a networked business model requires a
networked organization. Vice chair Beth Comstock is focused on transforming GE
into an “emergent organization.” GE is also using very different metrics for
its platform businesses. The key metrics are assets on the platform, rather
than margin or revenue growth. This is appropriate for a platform business, as
it measures capacity for exponential growth in the future rather than the
results of incremental change in the past or present.
There are opportunities to bring new thinking to every
industry and function. For example, most retailers are merchants using
technology. Amazon is a technologist empowering merchants. Traditional
retailers obsess over incremental metrics like same-store sales that are tied
to business goals. By contrast, 80% of Amazon’s metrics provide feedback on how
well it is helping customers achieve their goals. ( read above TWICE).
The digital revolution is forcing every company to move
from business models focused on products and services to those that leverage
networks and platforms. This shift requires dispelling myopia, embracing new
organizational models, and unlearningold habits. It’s a fundamental change in
how you think and what you measure. But once you align your mental, business,
and measurement models, you will be well on your way to a successful digital
transformation.
How does this
APPLY to SMALL INVESTORS?
It is easy to buy stocks what RAKESH or BUFFETT buys. It
is easy to STEAL somebody’s TIP and buy stocks without telling him. It is easy
to follow FREE MEDIA ADVISE then having a personal investment consultant.
The missing LINK is MENTAL MODEL and MEASUREMENT MODEL of
RAKESH or BUFFETT. You don’t have that
and when you don’t have that you can’t become RAKESH though you buy his stocks.
How we TRAIN our
investors?
We try to help our investors with the MENTAL MODEL and
MEASUREMENT MODEL along with the BUSINESS MODEL of RAKESH and BUFFETT over a
period of time. Our sole focus is on how we think when we approach investment
or trading. Thinking leads to better ACTION and better ACTION LEADS to 100%
better RESUTLS.
Over the last 25 years the clients who have grown with us
and made tons of money are the ones who have seen our FEES as investment for
better future rather then COST in PRESENT times? How you think will always
matter in life and in investments.
Just be with us for 3 years and see the magic in your life
and finances.
Have a GREAT INVESTING.
Follow me on Twitter @hiteshmparikh and join me on
WhatsApp on +91 986 942 5399.
Live
With Passion…. Invest With Passion.
Hitesh Parikh
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