Why Obvious Investment Ideas Shared by TOP ANALYSTS or EXPERTS leads to Pain at the end?
Tuesday, 22 May 2018
Why Obvious Investment Ideas Shared by TOP ANALYSTS or
EXPERTS leads to Pain at the end?
Greetings from Hitesh! Our last post “Buy
Buy Stocks or Bye Bye Stocks – what is your View Now?” has been well received by our readers
and we thank each of them for their time in reading and sharing their feedback
with us. Today we are going to deal with the genuine issue of the NORMAL
investors and why they end up making losses in spite, of following EXPERTS or
TOP ANALYSTS?
Let
us see what happened in KARNATAKA election recently?
Read
all the political experts / analysts and astrologers who tried to predict the
outcome of the results. Most of them was dealing with the two obvious choice
only – BJP or Congress. Those who were predicting BJP may say that BJP got the
highest number of seats and that way they were right. Those who were predicting
CONGRESS may say that Congress played a master stroke by giving support to Mr.Kumarswamy
and that way congress is also a winner.
The
FACT is Mr.KUMARSWAMY will become the CM!! Nobody was able to see this
possibility and they all are wrong.
What
happens when you go for predicting the MACROS?
Mr.Nassim
Taleb in his Book, The Bed of Procrustes, shared the reason of the same in his
own style.
Mr.
Taleb addresses the modern day ways in which “We humans, facing limits of knowledge ( so, we focus on the obvious
players), and things we do not observe (the
underline MOTIVE of the players like BJP,Congress or JDs), the unseen and the unknown (everybody was seeing
KUMARSWAMY as king maker and not at KING), resolve the tension by
squeezing life and the world into crisp commoditized ideas (talking about
OBVIOUS things like BJP or CONGRESS), reductive categories, specific
vocabularies, and prepackaged narratives, which, on the occasion, has explosive
consequences.( same way some guys talk about only MUTUAL funds and SIP whenever
they talk about investments).”
In
short, Taleb says without proper knowledge whatever you predict is not going to
help you in a material way. This is one of the reason why we don’t make
election predictions as it is difficult to get the exact details about all the
major participants.
How
does this apply to investment area?
They
pick up their investment randomly - Rakesh or any BIG investor is buying XYZ
company / some big mutual funds are holding this stocks / the company is
available at low P/E compared to PEERS / All my friends or relatives are doing
investments in this company or this way only / this idea is recommended by
leading analyst on business channel / All experts are saying market will not
come down.
If
you have said any of the dialogue while doing investments – I am sure you must
be looking for some new idea to cover your losses.
Where
to focus while investing?
Investment
is 90% about SELF and 10% about your fundamentals / technical and all other N
number of methods which may be followed by investors world over.
The
first step is to understand yourself in as much details as you can.
At
destiny management we have combined the both with our superlative system to
help our clients to understand himself and we keep our client’s way ahead as
far as market movements are concerned. This way they have a control on themselves
as well as on market events.
On
28th May, 2017, we gave an indication that we see market going down
the way 2008. We gave exact dates in October 2017. Just see NIFTY is up and all
the stocks are down by 20-50% or more. When we gave this 100% free advice, very
few guys listened to us.
Our
success is that we don’t give OBVIOUS investment ideas. It was an ACT of GUTS
and VISION to talk about MANDI when market was moving up onside in 2017 and so-called
experts were selling you the dreams of 125000 SENSEX and 5 Trillion Economy. I
am sure it will also happen someday, but NORMAL guys don’t have those kinds of
patience. They use this as MORAL support while seeing their bleeding portfolios.
Our observation about NORMAL guys says that they talk about LONG TERM and BLA,
BLA, but they are PURE SHORT-TERM MENTALITY guys. They don’t have patience and that’s
why all long term advise is useless for them.
What
Next?
Join
us and get our 100% free advice on understanding yourself through ancient science
of Astrology. This will take care of 90% and our investment advise will add to
another 10%. This way you will be an 100% investor.
Have
a great week ahead.
Follow me on Twitter @hiteshmparikh or
on Whatsapp
- +91-9869425399.
Live With Passion…Invest With
Passion.
Hitesh Parikh.
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