If you want to win INVESTMENT GAME against fellow investors / mutual funds / FII / Insurance companies – following these 40 smart strategies
Wednesday, 09 May 2018
If you want to win INVESTMENT GAME against fellow
investors / mutual funds / FII / Insurance companies – following these 40 smart
strategies
Greetings from Hitesh! Mr.Stephen M. Sharpiro’s had written a book “Best
Practices are Stupid”. In the same he had talked about 40 ways to out-innovate
the competitions.
The book is about innovations,
innovative practices and system. While reading this book, I felt that 40 ways
suggested in the book could be applied to the area of investments also. So,
here it goes. I have given my comments in blue.
Here it goes…….
1.
Not survival of the fittest but, survival of the adaptable.
When the pace of change outside your
organization is greater than the pace of change within,
you’ll get eaten
Your strong conviction in any investment
idea needs to adapt to the market conditions.
If you have been holding shares like
reliance bought at 3000/- in 2007 or Infosys bought at R.16000 in 2000 or
Larsen at Rs.4400 in 2007 – you can see what happened to your portfolio due to
them. So adapt to the market.
2. How
can you avoid becoming a one hit wonder?
For too long, innovation has been
relegated to the darkest recesses of R& D departments and to the conference
rooms of barnstormers. But now is the time to bring innovation to the forefront
of your business.
Good investment idea is not the
prerogative of media and web analyst. You should go beyond that. I have always
been way ahead of FII analyst in predicting the market. Be creative.
3. Asking
for an idea is a bad idea.
One of the most important yet, under
considered measures in the innovation process is the signal to noise ratio.
Signal-to-noise ratio in investment
area refers to the ratio of useful information
to false or irrelevant data in a conversation or exchange. For example, in
WHATSAPP GROUP and other online communities, GOOD MORNING MESSAGES and
Irrelevant messages are regarded as "noise" that interferes with the
"signal" of appropriate discussion related to investment subject.
Most investors are not ready to go
beyond a TIP. They get caught up in irrelevant MEDIA NEWS and losses the focus
on the overall market.
4.
Don’t think outside the box but find a better box.
Einstein once said, ‘If I had an
hour to save the world, I would spend 59 minutes defining the problem and 1 min
finding solutions.’’ Unfortunately, most companies spend 60 minutes
finding solution to the problems that just don’t matter.
Most investors do not know, why they
want to invest? And they spend time in knowing how to invest and where to
invest. They ask questions such as MARKET KYA LAGTA HEY and whether BJP will
will 2019 election or not?
5. Expertise
is the enemy of innovation.
If you are at NASA and you have 100
aerospace engineers working on an aerospace engineering challenge
adding the 101 aerospace engineers may not help much. But, adding a
physicist, a nanotechnologist, a chemist, a biologist or even a musician may
move your solutions in a completely new direction.
Single minded focus for the sake of
focus will not lead you to anywhere. All great investors draw their inspiration
from various fields. If everybody is following TECHNICAL CHARTS or FUNDAMENTALS
and if you also follow the same – the results will not be 180 degree opposite.
You will get the same results. That’s why at DESTINY MANAGEMENT – we use the
science of ASTROLOGY for a much refined and more accurate judgment.
6.
The difference between a pipeline and a sewer is what flows through it.
Too many safe bets in the long run
are unsafe.
What is safe for one may not be safe for
you. Same way what is unsafe for one may not be unsafe for you. You need to
find out your real purpose of investment before deciding about where and how.
7.
The Goldilocks principal.
Challenges can’t be too big (broad
and abstract e.g. asking for new ideas.) or too small (overly
specific e.g. an extremely technical problem that can be solved only by one
discipline). They must be just right – framed in a way that maximizes the
likely hood of finding a workable solution.
Buddha called this as MIDDLE PATH. Don’t
go for the FANCY idea or the old economy idea – go for what is 100% relevant to
your own situations.
8.
There is no such thing as know it all.
There is nothing so stupid as an
educated man. If, you get him off the thing that he was educated in.
Being MBA and CA is one thing and doing
investment in dynamic market condition is another thing. Investment is a
dynamic process; it can’t be done with static mind.
9.
What did Edison get wrong about innovation?
Challenge driven, open innovation is
a massively parallel process where failures and successes happen at the same
time.
Edison said “ I have not failed 700
times, I have found 700 ways in which way you can not find BULB”. My question
is, if he had found out in first attempt, do you think he would have spent the
time on finding other 699? You need parallel system to work in the field of
investments. HERE THE ROLE of consultant is very important.
10. What do CISCO, LG Electronics,
and GE have in common with American idol?
With the bounty based approach the
success criteria are clearly defined. With the tournament based approach the
winner is the best of the submissions.
You need to define your success criteria
very clearly or any investment idea will appeal to you.
11.
To Compete or not to compete that is
the question?
Collaborations and competitions both
serve as an important purpose in the process. As Graham bell once said “great
discoveries and improvements invariably involve the
co-operation
of many minds. I may be given credit for having blazed the trail, but when I look
at the subsequent developments I feel the credit is due to others rather than
myself.
It goes for any successful investment
also.
12. Crowds
are better at eliminating duds than a picking winner.
Crowd sourcing is not intended to be
a democratic tool designed to gather the whims and wishes of individuals. It is
intended to source solutions and not opinion.
You should not invest on opinions of the
media analyst; you should invest because it will meet your purpose. In fact,
when all the MEDIA talks about the same direction of the market- that is the
time when market will change the direction. If they all talk about TEJI – 100%
there will be a MANDI.
13. Lessons
from Indiana Jones.
The real treasure is found when you
leave your office, do your fedora and bullwhip and study customers with your
own two eyes.
Armchair Analyses is the style of the
day. Do google and you have all the answers. They will take you for a ride. I
spend atleast 50 hours in various market places every month to study the GROUND
LEVEL REALITIES of the economy before I talk about investment ideas. This is
the reason many times I defer with the GDP growth rate figures of GOVERNMENT.
14.
Your market Research Sucks.
The average person
is only aware of about 5 percent of his or her thoughts and feelings on any
given topic. Consumers can provide answers, but
those answers may be incomplete at best and quite misleading at worst.
Research can tell you many things and
may not tell you the real things. Do your own research also.
15.
Be the Aspirin for your customer’s pains.
Three requirements must be present
for an individual to change.
1. Dissatisfied with the current
state.
2. Must see a better state, if
changes.
3. Must believe that he or she can
reach that better state.
We often hear the expression “build
it and they will come” but the innovation, a more accurate statement is
“eliminate a pain and they will come”
Eliminate FD / SIP and MUTUAL FUNDS from
the portfolio and real wealth will come on its own. Investment is more about not
making stupid decisions rather than making intelligent decisions. Most NORMLA
guys do not understand the difference between EASY and SIMPLE.
16. Innovate where you differentiate.
All capabilities are equal but some
are more equal then others. You do not innovate the same way for each
capability in your business. And the way you innovate will not be the same as
the way your competitors innovate.
Find out your USP, Your Core Area,
develop the same and invest.
17. Ever
notice how one size fits all never really fits at all?
It is important to know how your
differentiators translate into your innovation strategy. This helps cascade
priorities down to the lowest levels of the organizations.
You must see where your USP is adding
value in your investment venture. Then only you will able to keep a track of
it. There is no SUCH thing as BEST investment idea for ALL.
18. Best
practices are sometimes stupid.
The competitors are like Tiger Woods.
Best Practices won’t keep you alive in the current environments.
If you invest where everybody invests,
you will also get what they get!! Just see RELIANCE JIO followed
market disruption strategy rather than usual strategy and gained 10 Cr customer
in first 6 months.
19. Simplification
is the best innovation.
Perfection is finally attained not
when there is no longer anything to add but when there is no longer anything to
take away.
Good investment idea may not be giving
you the best return, but it should not take away your capital!!
20. Motivate
like Maslow.
Stop recognizing people for doing
their jobs. When you hire someone to work for you, it should be expected that
they are competent. When you recognize people for doing what they are hired to
do, it reinforces a culture where the status quo is good enough.
Motivate your team like Maslow did. All
people are not at the same levels.
21. You get what
you measure but will you get what you want?
Too many innovative measurements
systems are designed in a way that inadvertently creates undesirable behaviours.
Measurement of your performance should
not only look at the results but also at the quality of your life.
22. The
performance paradox.
If you want to go faster, stop
focusing on speed, if you want to be more creative stop measuring creativity.
Paradoxically, what organizations hyper focus on their goals, they are less
likely to achieve those goals.
More trading / more transactions does
not mean more profit. Many normal guys have obsession with ACTIVITY – they want
to do something every day or every minute of the market and they are the
biggest loser in the market at the end of the day.
23. Time
pressure kills creativity.
Asking people to be creative and
giving them a little breathing room can do wonders to enhance creativity.
You can’t get a baby in a month
by putting 9 men to work. Baby needs 9 months to develop fully.
24. Failure
is always an option.
Failures is always an option, it is
the corner stone of our approach to the scientific method. Any result is a
result.
It is your interpretations of results
that make you failures or success. Just see the result as a result. If you are
not getting what you want – change your approach / change your strategy / learn
more about your system of investing and you will be able to reach to your
desired results.
25. View
the world through a different lens.
As an innovator,
don’t get too attached to your idea. Being right can be enemy of good
innovations.
See any investment idea, from different
perspectives. Just don’t fall in love with that idea.
26. Hire
people you do not like.
The person you like the least is the
person you need the most.
You can invest with
borrowed funds on personal advice. Most do the opposite; they invest personal
funds with borrowed advice.
You do not like to hire an investment
consultant, but that is what you need. Many friends want to join us but they don’t
want to pay us the fees. In the process, they miss the bus.
27. Why
the pyramids are one of the seven wonders?
Everyone in the company plays a role
in driving innovation.
See your investment and your life, your
family members in totality.
28. Top
down Philosophy should be left to convertibles.
Central control is a fatal conceit.
You may just control yourself out of business.
You need layers to control the
investments. You alone can’t handle all things.
29. Use
the reality TV show Model.
The competitions are as much about generating
buzz and stimulating interest in innovations as they are about finding specific
solutions.
You can follow reality show model among
your friends and fellow investors about specific investment idea.
30. Get your
knowledge workers doing knowledge work.
One way to make time is
to get your knowledge workers doing knowledge work.
Engage your consultants for what they
are paid for.
31. Encourage
your employees to get on their soapbox.
The speaker corner concept is a
useful technique for driving new thinking. It is a free market in action.
Encourage your team members, family
members to speak on the subject of investments. You may be surprised with their
feedback.
32. Shortest
distance between two points is a straight line.
Creativity is just having enough dots
to connect.
Always use the simple way to reach your
goals.
33. Someone
else has already solved your problem.
The most useful question in the world
of creativity - who else has solved this problem?
Do not spend time in re-inventing the
wheel. Just find it and use it for your purpose.
34. Adapt
your product to a different environment.
Sometimes the best innovation is
about taking something that already exist and adapting it for a new
environment.
Find out new applications and new ideas
from the existing one. Have you seen the mobile from just communications, it
had gone beyond it.
35. Don’t
put the NO in Innovations.
In the improvisational game “yeah,
but: the objective is to tell a story, one person at a time without using the
words “yeah, but.
Just do it. Without doing, you will
never comprehend the importance of the idea.
36. How
can you make the impossible possible?
What if you could become masterful at
making the seemingly impossible? What if, instead of looking for realistic solutions
to challenges. You started with solutions that seemed impractical?
Challenge yourself.
37.
Stand in someone else’s shoes.
Each morning when you wake up, make
believe you are some one different.
When you look an investment idea from
other’s point of view, you may get the different perspective about
the same.
38.
Innovations are a child’s play.
The greater danger for most of us is
not that our aim is too high and we miss it, but that it is too low and we hit
it.
Find out just right investment goals.
Not too high, not too low. This requires lot of soul searching and guidance.
39. Sometimes
it’s logical to be Illogical.
Illogical combinations can lead to
truly logical solutions.
Look at all possible combination and
situation before you invest.
40. Predict
what the competitions will do next.
In these rapidly changing times,
creativity can be even more valuable for determining what the marketplace and
your competitors will do next.
Look at where other investors are
investing; it will give you some idea.
What NEXT?
Take print out of the above. Read
them daily for at least a week with a repetition of the same every week for 3
months. All the strategies will sink in your system and you will see the magic
in your performance after that.
Have a HAPPY WEDENSDAY.
Great HITESH bhai
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