Is India HEADED for MORE TAXES and HYPER INFLATION? ( MUST READ FOR EVERY INDIAN).
December 1, 16
Is India HEADED for MORE TAXES and HYPER INFLATION? ( MUST
READ FOR EVERY INDIAN).
Greetings from Hitesh! November
2016 will be known as the most eventful month in the Indian History.
Generations will remember 8 p.m. of 8th November 2016 / Narendra
Modi and Demonetisation.
What is the GENERAL MOOD Post Demonetisation?
The NORMAL people are suffering
like anything but they are HOPEFUL for better future – ACHHE DIN. They are
being told to see this as ONE TIME TROUBLE for LIFE TIME PEACE of Mind.
With the Banks are flush with
CASH, expectations are there for RATE CUT by RBI / Lower INTEREST RATES / Lower TAXES for
MASSES / some are expecting that INCOME TAX will be removed and things like
that. If you check MEDIA - People are being SOLD DREAMS about coming better
days with the removal of CURRUPTIONS / BLACK MONEY / and bringing CASHLESS
ECONOMY.
Demonetisation has not
REMOVED the POVERTY but made RICH guys also POOR. So, there is overall POVERTY
in India as on today. But NO MEDIA
talks about this issue. Today I am going to talk about ECONOMIC SITUATIONS of
India GOING FORWARD.
WHAT WE HAVE SAID IN The RECENT MONTHS?
On Tuesday, October 4,
16, we wrote Understand ASTROLOGICAL Forces behind
Surgical Strike / IT Raids and Coming period – we had
categorically said –
OVERALL HAPPINESS of
COUNTRYMAN:-
4th house is aspected by RAHU and
SATURN. MARS will join from 3rd November. They will have to SUFFER
from POLITICAL moves or Natural calamities.
We are proved 100% correct and Indians are
suffering from POLICTICAL MOVES.
--------------
On October 14, 16, we wrote - World is facing
DEFLATION, in spite of MONEY PUMPING by USA and other countries and we are
talking about HYPER INFLATION. Why?
In the same we explained how GDP
is made up.
Read this BASIC economics –
Let us see HOW GDP is
determined in the simplest way?
Say there is a small country of 10 people
and the money supply is Rs.1. Each one gives Rs.1 to other for the services or
goods the other guy is giving and there bye money multiplier is 10 times.
Money stock * Money
multiplier = GDP
Rs.1 * 10 times = Rs.10.
Now say Govt starts pumping money and
increases the money supply to Rs.10 but money multiplier comes down to say 1
time. So, we have….
Money stock * Money
multiplier = GDP
Rs.10 * 1 time = Rs.10.
What WILL happen in India due to DEMONETISATION?
Money multiplier of Indian
economy, which RBI was claiming to be in the region of 4-5 will come down
DRASTICALLY.
When money multiplier comes down –
in spite of lot of money (as banks are flush with cash) – economy will not
GROW. Just see above example – money stock has moved up from Rs.1 to Rs.10 but
GDP is still Rs.10 as multiplier has come down from 10 times to 1.
What are the GROUND REALITIES?
Govt will generate one time income
from TAX on HIDDEN INCOME / PENALTY and other taxes. It will give the effect of
being RICH for the time being. It does not give any CLUE how India will earn
tomorrow.
Many times when you sell your
ANCESATRAL PROPERTY – it adds to your PRESENT INCOME and you FEEL RICH for the
time being. Your feeling of RICHNESS now has no guarantee that you will be RICH
tomorrow also!! Something like that is happening with INDIAN GOVT.
Demonetisation has killed the
overall ECONOMY – whether you like to accept or not. Let me share some of the
examples of how money is WASTED due to wrong policy measures.
1)
Many guys
have converted their CASH into GOLD at a NONSENSE price of Rs.50000 to Rs.65000
as reported in MEDIA. The CASH, which was in circulation, has gone into GOLD.
Now, it will not come into business for long time, as people will hold GOLD
till they see profit. So, Money Multiplier will come down.
2)
Some people
have bought GROCERY and MEDICINES with old notes for 3 to 6 months in advance.
Shopkeepers are HAPPY NOW, but these guys will not come to their shops for
coming 3-6 months. These have two disadvantages – the cash, which could have
been productively employed by NORMAL guys, went to buy MEDICINES and GROCERY in
advance (locking the CASH) and Shopkeepers will have uneven income in coming
months. This will reduce the MONEY MULTILIER in the system like anything.
3)
Many guys
have paid ADVANCE SALARY to their EMPLOYESS in CASH. These SMALL guys have
deposited this in the BANKS. Now, they know that they are not going to get NEW
SALARY for coming 3-6 months – they will hold their money TIGHT. So, their
discretionary spending will also not come. Money multiplier will reduce due to
this also.
4)
NORMAL people
who do not have BLACK MONEY are FEARED by use of THRETENING language by
MR.MODI. Now, they will watch their BIG spending. They may postpone it or
cancel it for the time being. These will also reduce the MONEY MULTIPLIER.
5)
The
Government has given 50 days time. Most BIG guys are busy settling their CASH
and most SMALL guys are BUSY standing in BANK QUEUE. 2 months of PRODUCTIVITY
LOSS to the country!! This will also reduce the MONEY MULTIPLIER.
We can add many such GROUND
REALITIES in the list. But the point is - overall there would be NEGATIVE
IMPACT on INDIRECT TAX collection. In the NEXT BUDGET DIRECT TAX collection
will also come down!!
How Do I see the SITUATION of Indian Government Going
forward?
They are feeling RICH now. But
above ground realities is making me skeptical about there long lasting
happiness.
I had predicted that people would
suffer due to POLITICAL MOVES or NATURAL CALAMITIES. We are already suffering
due to POLITICAL MOVES, now the NATURAL CALAMITIES in India or WORLD MARKET –
will ADD FIRE TO THE FUEL.
From January, 2017, SATURN will be
transiting from 8th house of India’s independence chart for 30
months and some NEGATIVE EVENTS taking place will not surprise me. The GOVT
will be forced to increase the TAX RATES!! (All experts
who are positive with demonetization NOW and are expecting TAX RATE CUT may go
100% wrong)
8th house is a HOUSE of
DEATH / DESTRUCTION and TAX. SATURN will make it happen ALL!! So, do not RELY
on hope for low TAXES.
How INFLATION will move up?
BLACK MONEY has died temporarily
and not the BLAK MONEY MAKERS. They will simply jack up the prices of FOOD
PRODUCTS and NECESSITIES. We have paid Rs.220 per KG for TUR DAL in recent
past. With the low MONEY MULTIPLIER – production will also come down!! So,
there will be logical reasons to increase the prices also.
HIGH TAX RATES / STRICT COMPLIANCE / HIGH PRICES of NECESSTIES
and LOW INCOME or NO INCOME will KILL the NORMAL GUYS in coming times.
What is the WAY OUT?
SILEVER LINE in the DARK is SHARE
MARKET. On November 22, 16, we had written our post - December 2008 V/s.
December 2016 – Same SITUATIONS – are you ready to GRAB the
OPPORTUNITIES?
In the same we had said – we see market making new highs
in coming 4 months. In the same we had also said - If the ECONOMY is not
performing, as expected by many, it will make double sense for MODI Govt., to
keep the SENSEX up to create the ILLUSION of ECONOMIC PROGREESS by HIS
GOVERNMENT. (NEPTUNE will help in creating illusion).
After our call MORGAN STNELY is saying there
is 30% chance that SENSEX can touch 39000 levels.
Overall MARK MOBIUS / FIIs are positive for
SHARE MARKET.
What it MEANS for NORMAL GUYS?
If you are having
a set back in your business or job due to political moves – just relax. DESTINY
has opened a NEW WINDOW for you to make money and sustain your life. All you
need is to LEARN THE FINE ART OF INVESTMENTS and master it over a period of
time. Faster you can do – better for you.
Nobody is talking about
ECONOMY and INFLATION Now. As usual, I am the first to talk about it so
categorically. Use this information as indication of DESTINY in your life and
change your ways NOW. DECIDE TO INVEST NOW. You will bless me for LIFE.
If you want help in Investing In
Indian MARKET – do approach me.
Wish you HAPPY Investing.
Follow me on Twitter @hiteshmparikh / WhatsApp - +91-9869425399
/ www.hiteshmparikh.com
Live With
Passion…Invest With Passion.
Hitesh Parikh.
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